Bolt 19.19

Dazed

Without a doubt, I can.

According to the above posted splits Bolt did 9.92 (being tired from the rounds mind you) and 14.44.

If we remember that he did 14.35 in Manchester this is giving us an indication that Bolt could go faster then 14.44 or 14.35 when in peak condition. I reckon he can go 14.10-14.15 over 150m. If so and with 1.5-1.9 m/s tail wind deduct another .20-.30 to his time. And if he runs the first 100m in 9.85 (which he can easy) we will be looking at substantial sub 19 with or without Gay behind him. Gay can not get close to Bolt in the 200m

As I said, in peak form, one race only, ideal weather conditions and especially if Gay is in the race, Bolt will fly.

In respect to distance between Gay and Bolt, if Gay was to run his best 200m I think he can get down to 19.35-19.40 (chasing Bolt) - so perhaps it would give Bolt 6-7-8m winning margin.

Negatives

  • 8th race
  • head wind
  • did not specifically train for the 200m
  • no Gay in the race
  • perhaps the track to certain degree

Turn this into;

  • 1 race only
  • 1.5-1.9m/s tail wind
  • train for the 200m as well
  • Gay in it
  • fast track
  • good financial incentive

RESULT - an amazing time!