Sunday, 4 April 2010
Dramatic 2010 Australia Post Stawell Gift to reach conclusion tomorrow
The dramatic finale to the 2010 Australia Post Stawell Gift looks set to play out in front of a big crowd at Central Park, with 25-year-old Canberra athlete Tom Burbidge the strong fancy to take out Australia’s richest footrace.
Burbidge will enter tomorrow’s semi-finals as the $1.25 favourite after a sensational victory in the final heat of the 2010 Australia Post Stawell Gift on Saturday.
Defending Australia Post Stawell Gift winner Aaron Stubbs, world championships long jump bronze medallist Mitchell Watt and early favourite Josh Tiu will be out to challenge the injury-prone Burbidge.
South Australian Dale Woodhams and East Bentleigh’s Doug Greenough both looked impressive in their heat and will be hard to beat in their respective semi finals.
However the 129th edition has not been without controversy, adding to the rich and colourful history of Australia’s most famous footrace. The track on Saturday measured 3.20m long, and has since been rectified by Stawell Athletic Club officials.
The first of six semi finals will kick off at 12.10pm tomorrow, with winners only proceeding to the final, timed to start at 1.44pm.
The event will be broadcast live on Network Ten and One and live audio is available at
www.stawellgift.com
Punter’s Pal Prognostications for the 2010 Australia Post Stawell Gift
Our prognosticator, Punter’s Pal, has his ear to the ground and gives his tips for the 129th running of the Easter Gift.
Semi-final 1 – 12:10pm
The first and most open of the six Australia Post Stawell Gift semi-finals will be tight and any of the eight runners can win with only four one-hundredths separating them after the running of Saturday’s heats.
Punters Pal will be cheering for Gift backmarker and world championships bronze medallist Mitchell Watt. Wearing the red-silk and running off 2.5m, the Queenslander has plenty of room for improvement following his heat run of 12.89s.
Canberra-flyer Brendan Matthews (5.75m), the 18-year-old who could not take his place in last year’s final after breaking down when winning his semi-final, is a threat again and must be respected.
For more sentimental value, Ballarat’s P.F.(Peter) O’Dywer (10m) in his 23rd appearance at Central Park is searching for his third final appearance after a fourth and third in 1988 and 1989 respectively and will have plenty of local support.
Colour
Name
Handicap
Red
Mitchell WATT
2.5
White
Brendan MATTHEWS
5.75
Blue
Grant BILLINGHAM
7
Yellow
James REYNOLDS
7
Green
Stephen SHEPPARD
7.75
Pink
Matthew CALLARD
8.75
Black
Peter O’DWYER
10
Grey
Matthew EDDY
10
Semi-final 2 – 12:15pm
It’s hard to think Kevin Brittain (7.5m) can run as bad as he did in the heats again. He would have copped a massive spray from his coach John Henry which would be enough to petrify the most hardened of hard men. The former Northcote Gift winner may be walking home to Geelong if he does the same thing in the semis.
On times the main danger is former Commonwealth Games hurdler Greg Eyears, but Punters Pal likes this year’s Commonwealth Games aspirant Jacob Groth. Ignore the New South Wales sprinters’ sluggish time of 13.07s in the heats. He was jogging.
Colour
Name
Handicap
Red
Jacob GROTH
3.25
White
Luke STORTA
6
Blue
Greg EYEARS
6.5
Yellow
Matthew HARGREAVES
7.25
Green
Kevin BRITTAIN
7.5
Pink
Andrew HOWELL
8
Black
Paul CRACROFT- WILSON
9
Grey
Craig FOLEY
10
Semi-final 3 – 12:20pm
Only two chances here - the defending champion Aaron Stubbs running off the backmark of 4m, and the Nick Fiedler-trained Josh Tiu (10m).
Beach sprint champion Stubbs lacks nothing in self-belief and after storming to victory in 11.87s last year, watch the red silk eat up the 6 metre deficit on Saturday’s early favourite and frontmarker Tiu. Stubbs will attempt to join legend Bill Howard as the Gift’s only other back-to-back victor.
It would be a major boil-over if Brighton’s James Lobley gets through, but the 4th place-getter in 12.87s from Saturday’s red-hot 20th heat could surprise.
Colour
Name
Handicap
Red
Aaron STUBBS
4
White
Stephen ANDREAZZA
6.5
Blue
James LOBLEY
7
Yellow
Adam BURBRIDGE
7.25
Green
Derek COLLINGE
8.25
Pink
Edward WARE
8.5
Black
Nathan FOX
9.25
Grey
Josh TIU
10
Semi-final 4 – 12:30pm
If you have more money than you know what to do with then punt it all on South Australian Dale Woodhams. Trained by former Gift winner Paul Young, he is two-metres faster than anyone else in this semi and cannot lose.
Having said that, the 22-year-old was in exactly the same place last year and did. Youngster Ben Weaver from Mt Eliza, in his first appearance at Stawell is the likely winner should Woodhams once again tighten up around the neck-line.
Colour
Name
Handicap
Red
Carl MOREHOUSE
4.25
White
Andrew CLARK
6.5
Blue
Benjamin WEAVER
7
Yellow
Ben KOSCHADE
7.25
Green
Dale WOODHAMS
7.25
Pink
Lachlan TAYLOR
8.5
Black
Simon MENZ
10
Grey
Ryan HOFFMAN
10
Semi-final 5 – 12:35pm
The withdrawal of Olympic and world pole vault champion Steve Hooker has zero effect here as he had no chance. Bookies will favour East Bentleigh’s Douglas Greenough off the front-mark of 9.75m.
However Punters Pal gives some chance to rangy youngster Tom Gamble (5.5m).
Greenough should emerge victorious over the precocious Queenslander though, much to the pleasure of the Todd Ireland stable.
Colour
Name
Handicap
Red
Tom GAMBLE
5.5
White
Richard HANKIN
6.75
Blue
Cam DUNBAR
7.25
Yellow
David TINNEY
8.75
Green
Fabrice MELANIE
9.5
Pink
Douglas GREENOUGH
9.75
Black
Robert LEHMANN
10
Semi-final 6 – 12:40pm
If Burbidge’s broken back, bunions and bulging biceps hold together for somewhere around 12.2 seconds he will make it through to the 129th running of Australia’s richest footrace.
Should the $1.25 favourite’s body bail on him during the trip down the 120m grass track, then look for Doncaster’s former Stawell Backmarkers winner John Adams and 2009 Bay Sheffield winner Russell Scott to emerge.
But the Matt Beckenham-trained Burbidge (8.75m) should bolt it home - but may require a stretcher come Monday afternoon.
Colour
Name
Handicap
Red
Russell SCOTT
5.5
White
John ADAMS
6.75
Blue
Sean LAW
7
Yellow
Peter WALSH
7.75
Green
Nick MAGREE
8.75
Pink
Tom BURBIDGE
8.75
Black
Javad ASGHARI
10